Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -2 (56-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Byrd * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Robbie Hummel * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Kelsey Barlow | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| John Hart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Shurna * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 28 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 30 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Davide Curletti * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
* = starter