Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +12 (69-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Bost * | 39 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Rodney Hood * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Brian Bryant * | 26 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 23 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erving Walker * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Kenny Boynton * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Will Yeguete * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Erik Murphy * | 28 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Patric Young | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Scottie Wilbekin | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mike Rosario | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
* = starter