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2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 10.8% 89.2% +11.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.3% 90.7% -
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% -

Actual: Florida Gators +12 (69-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bost * 39 4-7 2-4 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 12 9 -
A. Moultrie * 36 4-10 0-0 4-8 13 2 0 1 6 12 12 -
R. Hood * 34 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 7 4 -
R. Sidney * 27 2-7 0-2 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
B. Bryant * 26 5-6 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 11 10 -
J. Steele 23 3-9 3-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 0 -
W. Lewis 15 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 1 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Walker * 34 4-10 2-6 0-1 2 4 1 0 0 10 7 -
B. Beal * 32 6-9 3-4 4-4 4 2 0 0 1 19 15 -
K. Boynton * 29 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 2 2 -
W. Yeguete * 28 2-3 0-0 0-2 7 1 2 1 0 4 12 -
E. Murphy * 28 5-9 4-7 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 14 12 -
P. Young 24 6-11 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 12 8 -
S. Wilbekin 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
M. Rosario 12 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 5 0 -

* = starter