Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.6% | 11.4% | -14.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.2% | 20.8% | -7.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters -11 (64-75). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Hall * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Justin Cecil * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Bud Thomas * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Jakob Gollon * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Daniel Coursey * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Travis Smith | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Chris Smith | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Monty Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Paul Larsen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shaquille Harris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Darious Moten | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Naburgs * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Aaron Graham * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Adam Pegg * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Liam McInerney * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Chris Perez * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Willie Green | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Dennis Diaz | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyshawn Patterson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Amara Thompson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter