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2012-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 27.0% 73.0% +5.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 75.3% 24.7% -
Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% -
Log Adjusted 80.7% 19.3% -

Actual: Brown Bears +7 (66-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Golden * 36 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 7 4 -
G. Maldunas * 30 3-12 0-0 0-1 11 3 0 3 2 6 9 -
R.J. Griffin * 29 1-5 1-3 2-2 5 1 2 0 3 5 5 -
D. Rufful * 23 2-11 0-3 0-0 6 0 3 0 0 4 2 -
T. Melville * 23 3-5 1-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 3 11 5 -
J. Brooks 21 4-7 0-0 8-9 1 1 3 0 2 16 12 -
J. Trotter 16 2-4 0-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
M. LaBove 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
K. Crecco 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
M. McKearney 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Albrecht * 38 2-11 1-5 0-0 4 2 3 0 1 5 2 -
A. McCarthy * 36 6-10 0-0 7-10 11 1 1 7 1 19 28 -
S. McGonagill * 35 1-6 1-4 8-8 5 10 2 0 5 11 17 -
M. Sullivan * 25 1-4 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
D. Walker * 21 5-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
J. Harris 21 6-9 3-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 15 7 -
T. Ponticelli 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Lundevall 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter