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2012-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 (34.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.1% 21.9% -
Log Adjusted 78.1% 21.9% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs -30 (35-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Rivard * 33 5-8 2-5 6-6 3 0 1 0 0 18 14 -
O. McNally * 27 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 6 12 -
B. Curry * 22 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 1 4 5 -
K. Wright * 20 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
K. Casey * 20 2-7 0-2 1-2 3 0 2 1 2 5 2 -
S. Moundou-Missi 17 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 1 1 10 10 -
C. Miller 17 1-4 1-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
C. Webster 16 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
W. Saunders 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 4 1 -
J. Travis 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Georgatos 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
U. Okam 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Giger 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Mangano * 31 8-16 1-3 0-1 4 0 0 2 1 17 6 -
A. Morgan * 31 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 3 1 -
R. Willhite * 26 0-5 0-1 3-4 4 4 0 0 6 3 0 -
J. Kreisberg * 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 4 -1 -
M. Grace * 20 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 1 1 -
J. Duren 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Pritchard 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Sherrod 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 1 1 8 -
I. Salafia 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 0 -3 -
S. Martin 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Cotton 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
W. Bartlett 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Townsend 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Kelley 3 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
W. Childs-Klein 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter