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2012-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Wofford Terriers The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Margin 77.1% 22.9% -6.7 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 86.1% 13.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.1% 35.9% - โœ“

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -7 (55-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wofford Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brad Loesing * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 5 10 14 -
Kevin Giltner * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 15 18 -
Karl Cochran * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 4 18 23 -
Drew Crowell * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 12 21 -
Aerris Smith * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
Lee Skinner 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 3 9 -
Jarell Byrd 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marshall Harris * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 3 9 13 -
Mike Groselle * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 2 2 10 18 -
DeVontae Wright * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 1 7 19 -
Cosmo Morabbi * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 10 -
C.J. Bray * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
Bo Holston 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 14 16 -
Ashton Moore 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 5 4 -
Lawrence Miller 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter