Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | +18.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +19.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +13 (71-58). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Weathers * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Emil Jones * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Steven Cunningham * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Justin Wright * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tim Owens * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Ray Chambers | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Alan Jones | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daronte Clark | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Cintron * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Bruce Massey * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| J.T. Sulton * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Marcos Knight * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| LaRon Dendy | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Jason Jones | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Kerry Hammonds | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| James Gallman | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Jones | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jimmy Oden | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter