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2012-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack New Mexico State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 โœ— (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 26.6% 73.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% - โœ—

Actual: New Mexico State Aggies -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Story * 38 5-10 3-7 1-2 3 3 3 0 0 14 13 -
D. Hunt * 36 5-7 0-0 5-8 8 2 0 2 4 15 16 -
D. Burton * 36 6-12 4-8 1-3 1 3 1 0 2 17 8 -
O. Czyz * 24 7-10 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 5 14 2 -
J. Evans, Jr. * 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
P. Nyeko 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Elliott 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
K. Panzer 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Finn 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Burris 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hernst Laroche * 37 7-15 4-7 3-5 5 3 1 0 1 21 14 -
Wendell McKines * 35 2-12 0-3 11-13 8 1 2 1 4 15 11 -
Tyrone Watson * 32 1-3 0-2 3-4 4 1 0 1 4 5 4 -
Daniel Mullings * 28 2-4 0-1 2-6 4 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Hamidu Rahman * 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Bandja Sy 27 2-9 1-6 0-0 6 2 0 1 4 5 1 -
Tshilidzi Nephawe 21 1-1 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 2 0 4 11 -
Remi Barry 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter