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2012-01-25

Model Predictions

Model UIC Flames Wright State Raiders Spread Result
Elo 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“
Margin 17.1% 82.9% +8.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“

Actual: Wright State Raiders +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UIC Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Brown * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 17 22 -
Gary Talton * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 14 14 -
Hayden Humes * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 2 5 13 -
Daniel Barnes * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 7 11 -
Darrin Williams * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 2 11 21 -
Paris Carter 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
Ahman Fells 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Dorian Tyler 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sammy Sutter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Matt Bush 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Anthony Kelley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Mays * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 33 38 -
Johann Mpondo * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 10 17 -
Armond Battle * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 4 12 -
Cole Darling * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 8 -
Reggie Arceneaux * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 10 14 -
John Balwigaire 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
Kendall Griffin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Vest 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A.J. Pacher 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 2 -
Tavares Sledge 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter