Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Kevin Dillard * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Josh Parker | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Vonderhaar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mitch Asmus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Aiken * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Langston Galloway * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Carl Jones * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Halil Kanacevic * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 26 | - |
| Daryus Quarles * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ronald Roberts | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 33 | - |
| Chris Wilson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Papa Ndao | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Evan Maschmeyer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Trevisan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christopher Coyne | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter