Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +24 (78-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 39 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| C. Woodyard * | 27 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Glover * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Graham * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Borovnjak | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Travis | 20 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Colella | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| P. Ackerman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Buford * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Deshaun Thomas * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Craft * | 22 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shannon Scott | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Sam Thompson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J.D. Weatherspoon | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Sibert | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Evan Ravenel | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Amir Williams | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| LaQuinton Ross | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Trey McDonald | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter