Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +33 (85-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dwight Smith * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Cody Mann | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Chad Calcaterra | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gordon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 33 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Chad Adams | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Dominique Dunning | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Perez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter