Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +16 (68-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Halvorsen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kendal Shell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rodney Williams * | 37 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Joe Coleman * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Julian Welch * | 27 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ralph Sampson * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| A. Hollins * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hollins | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chip Armelin | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Elliott Eliason | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Maverick Ahanmisi | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andre Ingram | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Oto Osenieks | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Ianni | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Sweeny | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 9-11 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 32 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Wood * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter