Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Norman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chace Stanback * | 40 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Oscar Bellfield * | 39 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Mike Moser * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 23 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 34 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Kendall Wallace | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Smith | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Drmic * | 42 | 4-15 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Kenny Buckner * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Westly Perryman * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Drew Wiley * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 38 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Watkins | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jarrell Crayton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter