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2012-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +3 (56-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenny Gabriel * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 4 13 17 -
Josh Wallace * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 0 0 4 6 14 -
Frankie Sullivan * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 10 16 -
Rob Chubb * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 3 0 5 -
Josh Langford * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 2 6 -
Allen Payne 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
Chris Denson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 10 10 -
Adrian Forbes 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 4 10 -
Tony Neysmith 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 3 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julysses Nobles * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 5 0 2 10 22 -
Mardracus Wade * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 6 -
Hunter Mickelson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 2 4 10 -
Rickey Scott * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 8 9 -
Michael Sanchez * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 0 4 -
B.J. Young 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 3 0 0 11 22 -
Rashad Madden 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 10 17 -
Devonta Abron 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 9 15 -
Kikko Haydar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter