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2012-01-24

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 88.7% 11.3% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 69.2% 30.8% -4.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% -
Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.2% 23.8% -
Log Adjusted 76.4% 23.6% -

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys -10 (42-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Thames * 35 3-6 0-1 2-2 0 3 2 1 5 8 3 -
C. Tapley * 34 5-10 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
J. Rahon * 33 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 9 4 -
J. Franklin * 29 4-7 2-4 2-2 11 0 1 0 7 12 10 -
T. Shelton * 22 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
G. Green 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
L. Franklin 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 0 1 -
D. Stephens 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Williams 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Luster * 37 1-10 0-4 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 4 -2 -
P. Cruz * 36 2-7 0-2 1-2 4 0 1 0 3 5 0 -
L. Washington * 34 4-10 2-6 2-5 8 1 2 3 1 12 15 -
L. Martinez * 29 4-12 3-9 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 11 2 -
A. Waddell * 18 1-4 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 1 0 4 2 -
L. Nance Jr. 25 3-4 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 1 2 6 9 -
A. Bouedo 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Watsabaugh 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Grabau 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter