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2012-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Margin 19.6% 80.4% +7.8 โœ“ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +14 (66-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rayvonte Rice * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 9 16 -
Ben Simons * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 7 8 -
Jordan Clarke * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 3 10 -
Karl Madison * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 2 6 -
Jeremy Jeffers * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Kurt Alexander 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 21 23 -
Aaron Hawley 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 10 -
Kraidon Woods 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 2 2 8 -
Judd Welfringer 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
David Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Cory Parker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Koch * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 3 1 10 19 -
Marc Sonnen * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 8 16 -
Johnny Moran * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
Anthony James * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 9 14 -
Seth Tuttle * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 13 19 -
Chip Rank 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 7 -
Matt Morrison 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
Deon Mitchell 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 5 7 -
Austin Pehl 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 2 9 -
Max Martino 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Marvin Singleton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyler Lange 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter