Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +8 (103-95). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 37 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 34 | 3-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Al Harrington | 28 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 5-10 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 23 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Julyan Stone | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 39 | 11-16 | 3-7 | 11-12 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 29 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 36 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 32 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Mo Williams | 24 | 2-16 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Kenyon Martin | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Evans | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Gomes | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter