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2012-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% -
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% -
Margin 45.9% 54.1% +0.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 68.8% 31.2% -
Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Log Adjusted 88.2% 11.8% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -4 (63-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor * 39 5-15 2-7 7-11 9 5 1 0 0 19 19 -
J. Gasser * 37 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 6 9 -
J. Berggren * 33 7-14 3-6 1-2 5 1 1 1 2 18 10 -
R. Evans * 31 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 0 4 5 3 -
M. Bruesewitz * 21 2-4 1-2 0-2 5 1 1 0 1 5 7 -
B. Brust 28 4-9 0-2 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
R. Wilson 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
F. Kaminsky 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Richardson * 39 5-12 2-5 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 13 4 -
J. Bertrand * 38 6-12 0-0 3-4 5 5 0 0 1 15 12 -
M. Leonard * 38 6-12 0-1 4-5 11 0 0 0 2 16 13 -
B. Paul * 33 3-11 0-2 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 10 4 -
T. Abrams * 27 4-6 1-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 9 7 -
S. Maniscalco 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
T. Griffey 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Egwu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter