๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Lehigh Mountain Hawks Lafayette Leopards Spread Result
Elo 82.5% 17.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 76.9% 23.1% - โœ“
Margin 82.3% 17.7% -8.4 โœ“ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 65.0% 35.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.0% 11.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 67.9% 32.1% - โœ“

Actual: Lafayette Leopards -14 (76-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Holden Greiner * 36 4-7 0-2 4-4 4 1 1 0 2 12 9 -
Corey Schaefer * 35 2-3 2-2 3-4 2 2 2 0 1 9 11 -
Gabe Knutson * 25 6-8 1-1 4-4 5 3 1 0 2 17 16 -
Jordan Hamilton * 22 4-9 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 9 2 -
C.J. McCollum 40 7-14 2-3 10-12 7 1 2 1 0 26 23 -
Anthony D'Orazio 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 4 3 -
John Adams 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Stefan Cvrkalj 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Justin Maneri 8 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jim Mower * 31 4-7 0-2 3-3 0 0 1 0 3 11 2 -
Rob Delaney * 31 6-7 1-1 3-3 2 3 1 0 3 16 12 -
Ryan Willen * 30 3-11 0-3 11-14 5 1 1 1 1 17 13 -
Tony Johnson * 27 0-7 0-2 2-2 5 4 0 0 0 2 4 -
Dan Trist * 18 6-8 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 1 4 13 5 -
Joey Ptasinski 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Levi Giese 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
Nick Petkovich 14 3-3 3-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
Seth Hinrichs 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J.D. Pelham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Les Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter