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2012-01-22

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls DePaul Blue Demons Spread Result
Elo 74.5% 25.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 72.0% 28.0% - โœ“
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 โœ“ (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.2% 22.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“

Actual: DePaul Blue Demons -16 (59-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Collins * 35 4-9 0-0 1-1 0 3 0 0 4 9 -1 -
Augustus Gilchrist * 32 7-8 0-0 8-10 5 0 1 0 0 22 20 -
Victor Rudd * 31 2-9 0-3 2-2 8 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
Hugh Robertson * 29 2-4 1-2 4-6 9 2 0 0 2 9 14 -
Ron Anderson * 21 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 8 7 -
Jawanza Poland 25 8-13 2-5 1-3 5 0 1 1 2 19 11 -
Toarlyn Fitzpatrick 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 0 0 10 -
Alberto Damour 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mike McCloskey 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Blake Nash 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Young * 33 0-13 0-4 6-8 0 5 1 0 0 6 -1 -
Cleveland Melvin * 31 8-18 0-1 1-1 7 0 0 0 1 17 5 -
Worrel Clahar * 28 3-4 1-2 1-2 4 1 2 0 2 8 9 -
Krys Faber * 16 2-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 6 9 -
Charles McKinney * 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
Moses Morgan 21 1-10 0-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -6 -
Jamee Crockett 20 6-10 1-3 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 15 5 -
Jeremiah Kelly 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
Donnavan Kirk 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Derrell Robertson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Edwind McGhee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joe Belcaster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter