Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (109-92). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Price * | 33 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 27 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 28 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 22 | 2-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Josh Childress | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair | 16 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Robin Lopez | 12 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Hakim Warrick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Brewer * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 29 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Al Harrington | 24 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Andre Miller | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez | 20 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Julyan Stone | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter