Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | +14.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +13 (74-61). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Shepp * | 39 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Olekaibe * | 39 | 4-17 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Jerry Brown * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 28 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Jonathan Wills * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Kevin Foster | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Garrett Johnson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Story * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Dario Hunt * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Deonte Burton * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Olek Czyz * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jerry Evans, Jr. * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Burris | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Finn | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Panzer | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Nyeko | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devonte Elliott | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter