Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | +2.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +17 (80-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Drew Gordon * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 30 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 16 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Dominique Dunning | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Wallace | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mike Moser * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Oscar Bellfield * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chace Stanback * | 25 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Smith | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter