Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | -5.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.3% | 32.7% | -4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -5 (75-80). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeromie Hill * | 33 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Michael Hale III * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Stephen Franklin * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Melvin Johnson III * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Alex Vouyoukas * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sei Paye | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kannon Burrage | 20 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Iggy Nujic | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Sims | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Ybarra * | 32 | 8-15 | 4-11 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Vonn Jones * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Travis Jones * | 22 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Wesley Davis | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Rios | 26 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| John Bowman | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Dade | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter