Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 45 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 43 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Rodney Hood * | 41 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Brian Bryant * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 20 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 21 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Shaun Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Goulbourne * | 39 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| John Jenkins * | 39 | 8-17 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 38 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Brad Tinsley * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kedren Johnson | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Parker | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Steve Tchiengang | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rod Odom | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter