๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 4.5% 95.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% - โœ—
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 โœ— (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% - โœ—

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Snaer * 33 6-10 2-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 14 11 -
Bernard James * 32 5-7 0-0 2-4 8 1 2 2 2 12 16 -
Deividas Dulkys * 30 5-8 2-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 12 10 -
Luke Loucks * 29 2-6 0-2 4-6 3 4 2 0 1 8 10 -
Xavier Gibson * 22 4-8 1-1 7-8 5 1 0 3 2 16 15 -
Okaro White 18 1-3 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
Ian Miller 15 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 7 4 -
Jeff Peterson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
Jon Kreft 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Terry Whisnant 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Rivers * 38 7-16 2-5 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 19 7 -
Seth Curry * 36 4-16 2-8 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 12 0 -
M. Plumlee * 30 2-4 0-0 2-3 6 3 0 1 2 6 10 -
Andre Dawkins * 28 5-10 3-7 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
M. Plumlee * 26 2-5 0-0 3-3 8 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
Ryan Kelly 24 3-9 2-2 2-4 4 1 3 0 2 10 7 -
Tyler Thornton 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 5 6 -
Quinn Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter