Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +25 (83-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Barlow * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Robbie Hummel * | 22 | 0-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Travis Carroll * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| John Hart | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 16 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Jacob Lawson | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sandi Marcius | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dru Anthrop | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Neal Beshears | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 29 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Wood * | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 18 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Travis Trice | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Ianni | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Sweeny | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter