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2012-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 77.8% 22.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 71.8% 28.2% - โœ—
Margin 70.4% 29.6% -4.8 โœ— (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 82.2% 17.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% - โœ—

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Burke * 39 6-19 1-6 0-1 7 6 1 1 2 13 7 -
Zack Novak * 38 6-9 5-7 0-0 8 1 1 0 4 17 14 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 37 3-8 1-4 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 9 8 -
Stu Douglass * 31 2-10 1-8 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 5 0 -
Jordan Morgan * 25 7-11 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 16 10 -
Evan Smotrycz 15 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Matt Vogrich 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Blake McLimans 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mardracus Wade * 34 3-6 2-3 4-5 2 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
Julysses Nobles * 31 2-5 1-1 0-1 4 3 0 0 2 5 5 -
Rickey Scott * 24 3-7 0-0 5-7 6 4 0 0 0 11 14 -
Devonta Abron * 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 3 0 0 3 6 -
Marvell Waithe * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B.J. Young 28 6-10 1-2 2-3 4 3 2 1 2 15 13 -
Rashad Madden 26 3-9 1-5 0-2 5 3 1 1 1 7 7 -
Hunter Mickelson 23 5-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 2 1 11 10 -
Michael Sanchez 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 -

* = starter