Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Burke * | 39 | 6-19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Z. Novak * | 38 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Douglass * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| E. Smotrycz | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. McLimans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wade * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Nobles * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Scott Jr. * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Abron * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Waithe * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Monroe | 30 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 22 | - |
| B. Young | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Prince | 28 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| W. Russell Jr. | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Madden | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Stuckey | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Jerebko | 25 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| H. Mickelson | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Gordon | 23 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| J. Maxiell | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| A. Daye | 19 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Knight | 17 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| B. Wallace | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| W. Bynum | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| V. Macklin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Wilkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter