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2012-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Appalachian State Mountaineers Wofford Terriers Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 โœ“ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“

Actual: Wofford Terriers +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Williamson * 30 8-12 2-3 2-2 9 2 0 1 1 20 19 -
Omar Carter * 28 2-8 0-1 2-5 3 1 2 0 2 6 2 -
Jamaal Trice * 28 2-8 0-2 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 7 1 -
Tab Hamilton * 27 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
Michael Neal * 22 2-4 2-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 8 8 -
Nathan Healy 20 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
G.J. Vilarino 18 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
Isaac Butts 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Mitch Woods 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -

Wofford Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brad Loesing * 40 4-11 0-3 2-2 3 7 1 0 3 10 7 -
Kevin Giltner * 37 6-9 4-5 2-2 7 1 1 1 1 18 18 -
Drew Crowell * 34 6-10 0-1 7-8 8 1 0 0 0 19 18 -
Karl Cochran * 27 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
Lee Skinner * 19 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 0 2 7 8 -
Aerris Smith 24 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
Jarell Byrd 16 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
Domas Rinksalis 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter