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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash 50
@
Monmouth Hawks 68
2012-01-19

Model Predictions

Model St. Francis (PA) Red Flash Monmouth Hawks Spread Result
Elo 19.8% 80.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% - ✓
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 ✓ (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 39.8% 60.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% - ✓

Actual: Monmouth Hawks +18 (68-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scott Eatherton * 38 8-15 1-2 2-3 14 1 3 5 4 19 23 -
Anthony Ervin * 36 0-6 0-4 2-4 4 5 1 0 5 2 1 -
Ollie Jackson * 30 4-11 3-8 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 11 6 -
Jon Taylor * 28 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 3 10 9 -
Kameron Ritter * 28 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 5 4 -1 -
Stephon Whyatt 26 1-6 0-2 0-2 1 3 0 0 3 2 -3 -
Tony Peters 9 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
Earl Brown 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Stanley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Monmouth Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jesse Steele * 32 4-9 2-6 2-2 1 5 1 0 6 12 4 -
Dion Nesmith * 32 5-12 2-5 2-2 5 4 3 0 0 14 14 -
Austin Tillotson * 23 1-3 0-0 4-5 4 2 0 0 3 6 6 -
Phil Wait * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 2 6 -
Ed Waite * 17 0-7 0-0 2-4 5 1 2 0 2 2 1 -
M. Myers Keitt 31 6-11 1-4 4-4 7 2 2 0 1 17 16 -
Marcus Ware 26 0-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 1 1 2 8 -
Will Campbell 18 5-10 3-8 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 13 2 -

* = starter