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2012-01-19

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% -
Bradley-Terry 0.5% 99.5% -
Margin 4.4% 95.6% +16.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% -
Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Log Adjusted 1.6% 98.4% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Caloiaro * 30 4-9 2-4 4-9 9 0 1 0 2 14 13 -
P. Blackwell * 29 2-4 0-0 3-6 4 1 1 0 0 7 9 -
C. Doolin * 29 1-6 1-4 2-2 3 1 2 0 3 5 2 -
M. Williams * 29 4-12 1-6 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 9 -2 -
R. Green * 28 4-8 0-2 0-0 7 1 3 0 4 8 7 -
D. O'Connor 22 1-5 0-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 5 5 -2 -
C. Dickerson 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
G. Hoffmann 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Raffington 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
C. Adams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Wey 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 38 4-11 1-5 3-4 7 4 3 0 2 12 13 -
E. Harris * 31 5-12 0-1 4-4 6 3 2 0 0 14 13 -
R. Sacre * 28 4-4 0-0 6-9 6 0 1 1 1 14 17 -
G. Bell Jr. * 25 2-6 0-1 4-6 3 1 1 0 3 8 4 -
M. Hart * 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
D. Stockton 25 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 4 0 1 2 8 -
G. Edi 21 5-6 3-4 2-4 2 0 1 0 4 15 8 -
S. Dower 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 2 -4 -
M. Carter 8 1-2 0-0 2-3 2 1 1 0 2 4 4 -
M. Monninghoff 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Keita 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter