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2012-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Elon Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 31.3% 68.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% - โœ—
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 โœ— (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 39.3% 60.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% - โœ—

Actual: Elon Phoenix -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Hood * 38 8-13 4-7 5-7 7 1 1 0 1 25 20 -
Jeffrey Merritt * 37 1-8 0-2 0-0 7 4 1 0 0 2 6 -
Will Cook * 34 5-10 2-6 1-3 4 1 0 0 3 13 5 -
Raijon Kelly * 31 6-10 4-5 3-5 2 7 0 0 2 19 16 -
Drew Windler * 29 7-13 6-9 1-2 7 2 0 1 1 21 17 -
Matthew Friday 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
Devin McNeil 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Connor Miller 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Hayman 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jack Isenbarger * 37 5-15 5-15 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 15 7 -
Lucas Troutman * 31 6-7 0-0 0-2 1 2 1 0 2 12 7 -
Ryley Beaumont * 22 5-6 0-0 0-2 3 4 1 0 1 10 11 -
Sebastian Koch * 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 0 1 6 10 -
Austin Hamilton * 12 2-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Drew Spradlin 32 6-13 3-5 4-4 6 4 1 0 0 19 17 -
Brett Ervin 17 2-6 1-5 2-2 8 0 0 0 0 7 9 -
Kevin Blake 13 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Josh Bonney 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Egheosa Edomwonyi 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan Winters 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter