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2012-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% - โœ—
Margin 32.6% 67.4% +4.0 โœ— (23.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% - โœ—

Actual: Little Rock Trojans -19 (49-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brown * 30 4-10 0-2 2-2 8 0 1 1 4 10 6 -
D. McClellan * 27 2-5 2-3 0-0 9 4 1 0 3 6 12 -
B. Mbamalu * 23 3-3 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
K. Coleby * 20 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 5 6 -
R. Andrews * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
E. Payton 26 1-2 0-0 1-5 4 2 0 0 5 3 2 -
A. Thompson 22 5-7 3-4 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 14 10 -
J. Thomas 19 4-10 1-3 3-4 9 1 0 0 4 12 8 -
S. Farrington 10 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 5 8 -
K. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Perez 4 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Jackson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Andre Williams * 35 3-16 0-4 0-2 7 3 2 0 3 6 -1 -
C. Guy * 34 4-13 1-4 2-4 6 2 2 1 1 11 8 -
Courtney Jackson * 31 4-8 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 0 3 10 5 -
Taggart Lockhart * 14 0-2 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Michael Javes * 9 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Will Neighbour 26 0-5 0-4 2-2 5 0 1 2 2 2 3 -
Ben Dillard 17 2-7 1-2 5-6 1 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
Eric Lawton 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 -
Reggie Fondren 8 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Tramar Sutherland 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Marlon Louzeiro 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter