Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Holy Cross Crusaders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✗ (14.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders -11 (43-54). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Delaney * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Willen * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jim Mower * | 27 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tony Johnson * | 26 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Dan Trist * | 22 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Seth Hinrichs | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Levi Giese | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Joey Ptasinski | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nick Petkovich | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Les Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Burrell * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| R.J. Evans * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Phil Beans * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Dave Dudzinski * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mike Cavataio | 26 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Stevens | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Eric Obeysekere | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Dee Goens | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Taylor Abt | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter