Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans -16 (63-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Watson * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Wendell McKines * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Hernst Laroche * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Daniel Mullings * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Hamidu Rahman * | 22 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Bandja Sy | 20 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tshilidzi Nephawe | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Lewis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Renaldo Dixon | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Shamburger * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Wil Carter * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Brown * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| James Kinney * | 24 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Stephon Smith * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Ballard | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| LaVanne Pennington | 24 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Calvin Douglas | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Garrett Ton | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aalim Moor | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nick Grieves | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jaleel Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter