Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Illinois Huskies | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | +14.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +30 (71-41). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stian Berg * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Aksel Bolin * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Abdel Nader * | 26 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2 | - |
| K. Gray * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Tim Toler * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Gray | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tony Nixon | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Antone Christian | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marquavese Ford | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Tyler Storm | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremiah Jackson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| DeMarcus Grady | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Buckley * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Rian Pearson * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Reese Holliday * | 27 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Matt Smith * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Julius Brown * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Curtis Dennis | 27 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Aj Mathew | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Richard Wonnell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeLino Dear | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Ewing | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zack Riddle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter