Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +13 (67-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Lathan * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Carl Richard * | 28 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Myles Walker * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jake Odum * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| R.J. Mahurin * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Printy | 26 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Steve McWhorter | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jake Kitchell | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lucas Eitel | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown * | 34 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 33 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 16 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter