Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -8.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 40 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tarik Black * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Barton * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ferrakohn Hall * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Wesley Witherspoon | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Joe Jackson | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Stephens | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stan Simpson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan * | 38 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 38 | 9-12 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| A.J. Rompza * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock | 24 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter