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2012-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 22.3% 77.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -
Log Adjusted 3.4% 96.6% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sobolewski * 38 3-8 0-2 1-1 2 6 2 0 4 7 5 -
J. Shurna * 37 6-12 3-4 4-4 6 1 3 0 0 19 17 -
D. Crawford * 37 7-15 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 17 1 -
R. Hearn * 34 2-6 1-3 6-6 1 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
D. Curletti * 26 1-3 0-1 0-2 6 1 0 0 2 2 4 -
N. Fruendt 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 5 -
L. Mirkovic 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Montgomery III 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
O. Jimenez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor * 37 5-9 4-6 1-1 3 6 1 0 1 15 15 -
J. Gasser * 35 3-6 2-2 2-4 3 4 1 0 3 10 9 -
M. Bruesewitz * 33 5-10 2-5 1-2 5 4 2 1 1 13 14 -
R. Evans * 29 7-13 0-1 3-3 9 0 1 0 1 17 13 -
J. Berggren * 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
B. Brust 23 3-8 2-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
F. Kaminsky 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. Wilson 6 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Dukan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J.D. Wise 1 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Fahey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter