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2012-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Miami (OH) Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% - โœ“
Margin 55.9% 44.1% -1.3 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.5% 27.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.5% 27.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.2% 46.8% - โœ“

Actual: Miami (OH) Redhawks -8 (57-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordon Crawford * 38 10-13 1-2 4-5 3 4 1 0 4 25 16 -
Dee Brown * 37 2-8 0-3 6-8 2 1 0 0 2 10 3 -
Scott Thomas * 36 5-8 1-3 0-0 11 5 8 1 3 11 25 -
Torian Oglesby * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
A'uston Calhoun 34 5-13 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 0 0 13 6 -
Cameron Black 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 0 4 6 -
Craig Sealey 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Chauncey Orr 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Anthony Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jehvon Clarke 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
James Erger 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Miami (OH) Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jon Harris * 40 3-6 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 8 7 -
Julian Mavunga * 40 5-12 0-1 7-13 4 7 0 0 4 17 12 -
Quinten Rollins * 34 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 4 6 -
Brian Sullivan * 30 2-9 2-9 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
Drew McGhee * 17 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 8 2 -
Vince Legarza 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
Josh Sewell 9 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Will Sullivan 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Adam Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Joe Mezher 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter