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2012-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 โœ— (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—

Actual: UConn Huskies -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dion Dixon * 38 4-17 2-8 2-4 2 2 0 0 0 12 -1 -
Sean Kilpatrick * 37 5-15 4-9 2-4 4 0 2 0 0 16 7 -
Yancy Gates * 36 5-10 0-0 3-3 12 0 0 0 0 13 15 -
Cashmere Wright * 29 5-6 3-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 4 13 10 -
Justin Jackson * 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 0 6 -
Jaquon Parker 20 5-10 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
Jeremiah Davis 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
C. Mbodj 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jermaine Sanders 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Lamb * 40 5-12 1-5 3-3 8 5 0 1 3 14 13 -
Shabazz Napier * 38 10-19 3-8 4-5 5 7 2 0 5 27 17 -
Andre Drummond * 28 2-9 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 1 3 4 -1 -
Alex Oriakhi * 26 1-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
DeAndre Daniels * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Niels Giffey 34 4-6 2-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 10 10 -
Roscoe Smith 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 4 8 -
Tyler Olander 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Brendan Allen 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter