Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Gatens * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Zach McCabe * | 36 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Marble * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Eric May * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Aaron White | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Bryce Cartwright | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devon Archie | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Brommer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Hummel * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 34 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Travis Carroll * | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kelsey Barlow * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Lawson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sandi Marcius | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Hart | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter