Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +1 (60-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Wood * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Travis Trice | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Novak * | 37 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 37 | 8-11 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Stu Douglass * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Blake McLimans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter