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2012-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“
Margin 52.0% 48.0% -0.4 โœ— (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers +7 (65-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenny Gabriel * 40 3-14 0-8 0-0 10 1 1 1 3 6 2 -
Rob Chubb * 37 7-14 0-0 1-5 12 0 0 1 5 15 9 -
Varez Ward * 30 1-7 1-3 3-4 7 4 0 0 1 6 9 -
Chris Denson * 24 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 0 -1 -
Adrian Forbes * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
Frankie Sullivan 38 5-13 5-12 4-5 4 3 0 0 1 19 12 -
Josh Wallace 23 2-4 0-0 0-1 2 1 3 0 0 4 6 -
Josh Langford 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
Willy Kouassi 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Hamilton * 41 6-11 0-0 1-1 8 2 1 1 4 13 10 -
Storm Warren * 34 4-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 2 1 10 12 -
Ralston Turner * 25 4-9 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 11 7 -
John Isaac * 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
Chris Bass * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 -
Anthony Hickey 39 6-12 2-5 4-6 7 6 1 0 1 18 19 -
Andre Stringer 33 1-7 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 3 -4 -
Jalen Courtney 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Malcolm White 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Eddie Ludwig 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter