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2012-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 โœ“ (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 14.2% 85.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +23 (86-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julysses Nobles * 33 2-9 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 4 -1 -
Mardracus Wade * 26 4-7 1-2 3-4 0 0 2 0 0 12 7 -
Rickey Scott * 25 3-8 0-1 3-4 5 2 0 0 1 9 7 -
Michael Sanchez * 19 1-3 0-0 1-4 0 0 0 0 3 3 -3 -
Devonta Abron * 11 1-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
Marvell Waithe 30 4-6 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 10 9 -
Rashad Madden 21 3-6 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
B.J. Young 20 4-11 0-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 10 1 -
Hunter Mickelson 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 2 4 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 36 10-12 0-1 7-8 14 0 0 7 0 27 36 -
Marquis Teague * 36 2-4 0-0 3-4 4 9 2 0 3 7 15 -
Terrence Jones * 31 4-8 0-1 5-8 9 0 1 5 0 13 20 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 24 4-7 0-0 2-2 4 4 0 1 4 10 8 -
Darius Miller * 21 5-8 1-3 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 11 3 -
Doron Lamb 31 5-12 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 14 3 -
Kyle Wiltjer 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Twany Beckham 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Eloy Vargas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter