Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +23 (86-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nobles * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Wade * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| R. Scott Jr. * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Sanchez * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| D. Abron * | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Waithe | 30 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Madden | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Young | 20 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| H. Mickelson | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Davis * | 36 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 27 | 36 | - |
| M. Teague * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 | - |
| T. Jones * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| M. Kidd-Gilchrist * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Miller * | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Lamb | 31 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| K. Wiltjer | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Beckham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Vargas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter