Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +11 (66-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westly Perryman * | 38 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 37 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jarrell Crayton * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Marks | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Drew Wiley | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas * | 30 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Will Bell * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Pierce Hornung | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter